Ecuador: can freshly re-elected Daniel Noboa govern a country in crisis?

Daniel Noboa has secured his re-election as president of Ecuador by a surprising margin, winning over 56% of the vote against his left-wing opponent, Luisa González. This victory grants Noboa, a 37-year-old businessman and political outsider, a full four-year term as president. His win marks the third consecutive defeat for the movement led by former president Rafael Correa, whose influence continues to polarize Ecuadorian politics. González, however, has refused to accept the results, alleging electoral fraud without providing any evidence to support her claim.

Noboa’s campaign focused heavily on security, a critical issue in Ecuador as the country grapples with high levels of violence. Despite initial support for his security measures, challenges remain, including rising violence, concerns about human rights, and the militarization of civilian life. Noboa’s administration also faces economic challenges, including a recession, high levels of inequality, and reliance on hydropower amid infrastructure issues.

Additionally, Noboa governs with limited support in the National Assembly, which will require him to build coalitions and compromise to pass legislation. His credibility has also been questioned due to his family’s business ties. Moving forward, Noboa’s success will hinge on his ability to govern through consensus, restore the rule of law, protect human rights, and address deep-rooted inequalities in Ecuador. The country’s future prospects may well be shaped by Noboa’s ability to deliver tangible progress during his term in office.